Heart of Midlothian vs St Bernard's analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.8%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
18%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1894 |
CEL
2 - 3
HOM
61%
20%
20%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1894 |
HOM
5 - 1
REN
69%
17%
14%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 1893 |
HOM
3 - 0
DUN
64%
20%
17%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1893 |
LEI
2 - 2
HOM
28%
22%
50%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1893 |
HOM
1 - 1
STM
60%
20%
20%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
St Bernard's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1894 |
STB
8 - 3
STM
53%
22%
25%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1894 |
STB
3 - 2
LEI
62%
21%
17%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1894 |
STB
3 - 5
DUN
57%
22%
21%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 1894 |
STB
1 - 2
CEL
28%
23%
49%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1893 |
STB
2 - 1
DUM
35%
24%
40%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |