Heart of Midlothian vs Kilmarnock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.4%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
18%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2003 |
HOM
1 - 2
DUN
61%
21%
18%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2003 |
DUN
1 - 0
HOM
42%
27%
31%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
DUN
2 - 1
HOM
27%
27%
47%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2003 |
HOM
0 - 2
GIR
39%
27%
34%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
HOM
2 - 0
HIB
62%
21%
17%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2003 |
DUN
1 - 2
KIL
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2003 |
KIL
2 - 0
MHE
52%
25%
23%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
PAR
2 - 4
KIL
32%
27%
42%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
KIL
2 - 3
GLA
29%
25%
47%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
KIL
0 - 5
CEL
31%
26%
44%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | -1 |