Heart of Midlothian vs Kilmarnock analysis

Heart of Midlothian Kilmarnock
78 ELO 76
5.4% Tilt -6.5%
ELO win probability
59%
Heart of Midlothian
22.2%
Draw
18.8%
Kilmarnock

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59%
Win probability
Heart of Midlothian
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
18.8%
Win probability
Kilmarnock
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Heart of Midlothian
+7%
-4%
Kilmarnock

ELO progression

Heart of Midlothian
Kilmarnock
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Heart of Midlothian
Heart of Midlothian
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Aug. 2002
HOM
Heart of Midlothian
2 - 0
Dunfermline Athletic FC
DUN
61%
21%
18%
77 72 5 0
18 Aug. 2002
ABE
Aberdeen
1 - 1
Heart of Midlothian
HOM
49%
25%
26%
77 77 0 0
11 Aug. 2002
HOM
Heart of Midlothian
5 - 1
Hibernian FC
HIB
54%
24%
23%
77 76 1 0
03 Aug. 2002
DUN
Dundee
1 - 1
Heart of Midlothian
HOM
39%
27%
34%
77 72 5 0
12 May. 2002
HOM
Heart of Midlothian
2 - 3
Livingston
LIV
50%
24%
27%
77 77 0 0

Matches

Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Aug. 2002
LIV
Livingston
0 - 1
Kilmarnock
KIL
51%
25%
24%
75 77 2 0
17 Aug. 2002
KIL
Kilmarnock
0 - 3
Motherwell
MHE
53%
25%
23%
76 69 7 -1
10 Aug. 2002
DUN
Dundee United
1 - 2
Kilmarnock
KIL
42%
27%
31%
75 71 4 +1
03 Aug. 2002
KIL
Kilmarnock
1 - 1
Rangers
GLA
27%
25%
49%
75 83 8 0
12 May. 2002
KIL
Kilmarnock
2 - 2
Dundee United
DUN
51%
26%
23%
75 71 4 0