Heart of Midlothian vs Kilmarnock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
25.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1981 |
CEL
6 - 0
HOM
80%
13%
7%
|
57 | 83 | 26 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1981 |
HOM
0 - 4
DUN
29%
29%
42%
|
58 | 81 | 23 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1981 |
KIL
2 - 0
HOM
61%
22%
17%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1981 |
GRE
3 - 0
HOM
68%
20%
13%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 1981 |
HOM
2 - 1
GLA
24%
27%
49%
|
58 | 83 | 25 | +1 |
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1981 |
KIL
0 - 1
AIR
45%
27%
28%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1981 |
KIL
2 - 0
HOM
61%
22%
17%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1981 |
GLA
2 - 0
KIL
75%
17%
8%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 1981 |
KIL
1 - 0
ABE
25%
29%
47%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 1981 |
AIR
3 - 0
KIL
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |