Heart of Midlothian vs Kilmarnock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.8%
Win probability
3.71
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.4%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.1%
6-0
4.2%
7-1
1.7%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.2%
5-0
6.8%
6-1
3.1%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10.6%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
5.1%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.6%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.7%
7.4%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
3.2%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
7.4%
3.7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1905 |
HOM
1 - 1
CEL
56%
21%
24%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1905 |
PGA
2 - 5
HOM
23%
22%
56%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1905 |
HOM
4 - 0
MHE
89%
8%
4%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1905 |
STM
0 - 1
HOM
40%
22%
38%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1905 |
HOM
3 - 2
TLA
61%
20%
19%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1905 |
KIL
3 - 1
GRE
63%
19%
19%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1905 |
ABE
2 - 0
KIL
80%
12%
8%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 1905 |
KIL
2 - 4
CEL
19%
21%
61%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1905 |
GLA
3 - 2
KIL
95%
4%
2%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 1905 |
STM
1 - 0
KIL
66%
19%
15%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |