Heart of Midlothian vs Kilmarnock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
11.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1903 |
GLA
5 - 1
HOM
69%
16%
15%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1903 |
HOM
5 - 0
MHE
69%
18%
13%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1903 |
PAR
1 - 1
HOM
24%
22%
53%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1903 |
HOM
4 - 2
DUN
65%
20%
15%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1903 |
TLA
2 - 1
HOM
31%
23%
46%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1903 |
KIL
1 - 1
GRE
60%
22%
18%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1903 |
KIL
0 - 0
HIB
27%
25%
48%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1903 |
DUN
4 - 0
KIL
61%
21%
18%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 1903 |
KIL
1 - 3
PAR
55%
22%
23%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 1903 |
GRE
4 - 2
KIL
32%
25%
44%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |