Heart of Midlothian vs Falkirk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.7%
Win probability
3.35
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.2%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.1%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.8%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.5%
6.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1954 |
DUN
4 - 1
HOM
52%
21%
26%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1954 |
CEL
1 - 2
HOM
52%
21%
27%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1954 |
FAL
2 - 6
HOM
43%
22%
35%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1954 |
HOM
3 - 1
DUN
66%
17%
17%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 1954 |
PAR
2 - 1
HOM
46%
22%
33%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1954 |
FAL
2 - 2
CEL
52%
21%
27%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1954 |
DUN
3 - 1
FAL
73%
16%
11%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 1954 |
FAL
2 - 6
HOM
43%
22%
35%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1954 |
CEL
3 - 0
FAL
75%
14%
11%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 1954 |
PAR
5 - 1
FAL
71%
17%
13%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |