Heart of Midlothian vs Dunfermline Athletic FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.2%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
17.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2002 |
ABE
1 - 1
HOM
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2002 |
HOM
5 - 1
HIB
54%
24%
23%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2002 |
DUN
1 - 1
HOM
39%
27%
34%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2002 |
HOM
2 - 3
LIV
50%
24%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
HOM
1 - 4
CEL
37%
25%
39%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
DUN
4 - 2
DUN
50%
25%
25%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2002 |
DUN
2 - 1
LIV
36%
26%
38%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2002 |
CEL
2 - 1
DUN
72%
18%
11%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2002 |
DUN
1 - 1
GLA
24%
23%
53%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
LIV
4 - 1
DUN
53%
25%
23%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |