Heart of Midlothian vs Dunfermline Athletic FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.4%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
11.4%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1990 |
STM
2 - 1
HOM
24%
30%
46%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1990 |
HOM
3 - 1
BOL
67%
20%
13%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 1990 |
ABE
3 - 0
HOM
45%
28%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 1990 |
HOM
2 - 3
STJ
74%
17%
10%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1990 |
MHE
1 - 1
HOM
38%
28%
34%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1990 |
STM
0 - 1
DUN
47%
27%
26%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1990 |
DUN
1 - 1
CEL
26%
28%
46%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1990 |
DUN
3 - 0
DUN
63%
23%
14%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 1990 |
DUN
1 - 1
HIB
53%
26%
21%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 1990 |
MHE
2 - 0
DUN
59%
23%
19%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |