Heart of Midlothian vs Dundee analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.1%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
13.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1996 |
HOM
2 - 2
CEL
35%
28%
38%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1996 |
RAI
1 - 1
HOM
36%
26%
38%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1996 |
HIB
1 - 3
HOM
47%
25%
27%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1996 |
HOM
1 - 1
MHE
59%
23%
18%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1996 |
HOM
1 - 0
CEL
35%
25%
40%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Dundee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1996 |
DUN
0 - 2
PAR
60%
23%
18%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1996 |
FAL
0 - 1
DUN
50%
25%
25%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1996 |
DUN
2 - 1
CLY
76%
16%
8%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 1996 |
STJ
0 - 1
DUN
54%
25%
22%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1996 |
DUN
2 - 0
EAS
76%
17%
8%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | +1 |