Haverfordwest County vs The New Saints analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
62.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.6%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+82%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2011 |
LLA
2 - 1
HAV
85%
11%
4%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
BAN
6 - 0
HAV
84%
12%
5%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2011 |
ABE
0 - 2
HAV
62%
22%
16%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +2 |
| 29 Dec. 2010 |
HAV
3 - 2
CAR
33%
26%
41%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
AIR
4 - 0
HAV
60%
21%
19%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 3
TNS
19%
25%
57%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
ABE
0 - 2
TNS
21%
25%
54%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2011 |
TNS
4 - 0
NEW
87%
9%
3%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
POR
0 - 2
TNS
29%
27%
45%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
TNS
2 - 0
AIR
85%
11%
5%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |