Haverfordwest County vs Pontypridd United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
19%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
5º
2º
38
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
3º
|
38 | 19 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
1º
|
44 | 18 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 17 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 13 |
4º
|
71% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 12 |
5º
|
71% | |
|
6º
|
2 | 2 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
FLI
0 - 2
HAV
40%
26%
34%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
HAV
2 - 2
CAE
42%
26%
32%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
HAV
4 - 0
AIR
73%
17%
9%
|
59 | 40 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
ABE
0 - 1
HAV
39%
24%
37%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
PON
2 - 1
HAV
29%
25%
47%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Pontypridd United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
PON
1 - 1
ABE
43%
25%
32%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
AIR
0 - 3
PON
21%
22%
57%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
FLI
0 - 0
PON
56%
23%
21%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
PON
1 - 0
CAE
28%
24%
48%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +2 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
PON
2 - 1
HAV
29%
25%
47%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +1 |