Hartlepool United vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
29.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hartlepool United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
SOU
3 - 0
HAR
60%
24%
16%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
HAR
1 - 1
BAR
42%
26%
32%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2006 |
SCU
2 - 0
HAR
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2006 |
HAR
3 - 1
HUR
38%
25%
37%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
HAR
1 - 1
DON
34%
25%
41%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
OLD
3 - 1
BPO
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
BRA
1 - 4
OLD
51%
25%
24%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2006 |
ROT
2 - 0
OLD
36%
27%
37%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -2 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
OLD
1 - 0
COL
42%
27%
32%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
OLD
1 - 0
TRA
50%
25%
25%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |