Harstad vs Skjervøy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.7%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.1%
28.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
4º
12º
4º
50
2º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 5 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harstad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
FLO
2 - 3
HAR
77%
13%
10%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
HAR
1 - 1
MJO
69%
16%
15%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
HAM
1 - 2
HAR
47%
20%
32%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
HAR
2 - 1
ILU
82%
11%
7%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
FYL
1 - 3
HAR
28%
21%
51%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Skjervøy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
SIK
3 - 0
IFC
75%
14%
11%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
KON
2 - 2
SIK
43%
21%
36%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
SIK
2 - 1
FBG
81%
12%
7%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
HON
6 - 1
SIK
86%
10%
4%
|
35 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
SIK
0 - 1
FLO
39%
22%
39%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |