Harstad vs Elverum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
50.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
4º
12º
4º
58
2º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 5 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harstad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
SJE
0 - 3
HAR
17%
19%
65%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
HAR
2 - 1
FYL
83%
11%
6%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
HON
1 - 1
HAR
87%
9%
4%
|
36 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
HAR
2 - 2
KON
56%
19%
25%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
HAR
2 - 1
SIK
52%
20%
28%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Elverum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ELV
5 - 1
FBG
91%
6%
3%
|
46 | 17 | 29 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
FLO
2 - 1
ELV
41%
23%
36%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ELV
3 - 2
SIK
74%
15%
11%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
MJO
0 - 3
ELV
15%
17%
68%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
ELV
7 - 1
ILU
85%
10%
6%
|
45 | 23 | 22 | +1 |