Harkemase Boys vs Excelsior .31 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.3%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
20%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harkemase Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
HAR
5 - 0
DOS
85%
10%
5%
|
48 | 26 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
HAR
7 - 2
FLE
71%
17%
13%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
APE
0 - 3
HAR
21%
22%
58%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
ACV
1 - 2
HAR
21%
22%
57%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
AZS
1 - 1
HAR
24%
23%
52%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
ACV
3 - 2
EXC
22%
23%
55%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
EXC
3 - 1
DOS
88%
9%
4%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2015 |
EXC
1 - 3
BOS
23%
22%
55%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
EXC
2 - 1
SVZ
80%
13%
7%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
GEN
2 - 0
EXC
27%
22%
51%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | -2 |