Harju JK Laagri vs Tammeka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.9%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
16.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
3º
10º
7º
19
4º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 75 |
1º
|
69% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 69 |
2º
|
35.5% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 66 |
3º
|
32.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 63 |
4º
|
38% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 60 |
5º
|
49.5% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 42 |
6º
|
44% | |
|
|
8º
|
15 | 40 |
7º
|
33% | |
|
|
7º
|
19 | 37 |
8º
|
30.5% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 30 |
9º
|
37% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 28 |
10º
|
59% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
89% | 72% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
10% | 23.5% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 4.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harju JK Laagri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
HJP
1 - 2
PAI
45%
25%
30%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2025 |
KAL
3 - 0
HJP
49%
23%
28%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
PAR
1 - 1
HJP
29%
23%
49%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
HJP
0 - 3
TRA
56%
23%
21%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
KUR
1 - 2
HJP
30%
24%
47%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Tammeka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
TAM
1 - 2
TRA
35%
26%
39%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2025 |
TAM
1 - 2
FLO
29%
25%
46%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
PAI
1 - 0
TAM
66%
20%
15%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
TAM
0 - 5
PAR
58%
23%
19%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
KAL
2 - 2
TAM
65%
20%
16%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +1 |