Harju JK Laagri vs Tallinna Kalev analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.1%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
18.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
3º
10º
6º
10
8º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 75 |
1º
|
67% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 69 |
2º
|
43% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 66 |
3º
|
27.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 63 |
4º
|
34% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 62 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
15 | 43 |
6º
|
41% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 41 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 35 |
8º
|
37% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 33 |
9º
|
40.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
10 | 25 |
10º
|
72% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
93.5% | 6.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
6% | 21.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 72% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harju JK Laagri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2025 |
LEV
5 - 0
HJP
45%
24%
31%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2025 |
HJP
2 - 0
VAL
40%
22%
37%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2025 |
HJP
2 - 2
EPF
85%
11%
5%
|
73 | 51 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
HJP
3 - 2
NOM
68%
17%
15%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
FSM
4 - 1
HJP
24%
20%
56%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Tallinna Kalev
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2025 |
FCT
0 - 5
TAL
44%
22%
34%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
TAL
1 - 2
TAM
43%
24%
33%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2025 |
TAL
4 - 0
KUR
45%
23%
32%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
PAI
4 - 0
TAL
72%
16%
12%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
TRA
5 - 2
TAL
47%
23%
30%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |