Harju JK Laagri vs Paide analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
29.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
3º
10º
7º
38
2º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 75 |
1º
|
69% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 69 |
2º
|
35.5% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 66 |
3º
|
32.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
38 | 63 |
4º
|
38% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 60 |
5º
|
49.5% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 42 |
6º
|
44% | |
|
|
8º
|
15 | 40 |
7º
|
33% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 37 |
8º
|
30.5% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 30 |
9º
|
37% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 28 |
10º
|
59% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 4% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 32.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
89% | 63.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
10% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Harju JK Laagri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2025 |
KAL
3 - 0
HJP
49%
23%
28%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
PAR
1 - 1
HJP
29%
23%
49%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
HJP
0 - 3
TRA
56%
23%
21%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
KUR
1 - 2
HJP
30%
24%
47%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
HJP
2 - 0
TAL
61%
21%
18%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Paide
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2025 |
PAI
1 - 0
PAR
71%
19%
11%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
PAI
1 - 0
TAM
66%
20%
15%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
PAI
5 - 0
TAL
67%
19%
14%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
TRA
1 - 0
PAI
35%
27%
38%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
PAI
4 - 0
KAL
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |