Halcones vs Sporting San Miguelito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.1%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.7%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.2%
80.7%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.6%
0-3
12.2%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.6%
0-4
7.9%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
10.6%
0-5
4.1%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.3%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting San Miguelito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2016 |
SMI
1 - 3
ARA
33%
28%
39%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
TAU
1 - 0
SMI
53%
26%
21%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
NAC
0 - 0
SMI
38%
27%
35%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2016 |
SMI
1 - 0
AFC
47%
27%
27%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
AMA
2 - 1
SMI
50%
27%
23%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |