HNK Hajduk Split vs Lučko analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.9%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.1%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
7.6%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Hajduk Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
OSI
2 - 1
HKS
29%
27%
45%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
HKS
1 - 0
KAR
78%
16%
6%
|
82 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
SLA
1 - 1
HKS
32%
27%
42%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
HKS
1 - 0
HNK
65%
22%
13%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
RIJ
0 - 3
HKS
26%
26%
48%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Lučko
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2012 |
INT
1 - 1
LUK
57%
24%
20%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
LUK
2 - 2
OSI
29%
27%
44%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
KAR
0 - 0
LUK
42%
27%
30%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
LUK
1 - 1
SLA
31%
29%
40%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
IST
2 - 0
LUK
54%
25%
21%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |