Hadley vs Waltham Abbey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
48.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+78%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
7º
18º
8º
61
3º
14º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
61 | 61 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
61 | 61 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
57 | 57 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
55 | 55 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
52 | 55 |
8º
|
72% | |
|
8º
|
54 | 54 |
9º
|
72% | |
|
10º
|
48 | 48 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
48 | 48 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
44 | 44 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
44 | 44 |
13º
|
87.5% | |
|
14º
|
44 | 44 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
43 | 43 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
43 | 43 |
16º
|
0% | |
|
17º
|
42 | 42 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
37 | 37 |
18º
|
100% | |
|
19º
|
29 | 29 |
19º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hadley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
HAD
3 - 0
THA
58%
21%
20%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
HAD
2 - 1
STO
40%
23%
37%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
HAD
1 - 3
BAR
58%
21%
21%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
BFC
4 - 3
HAD
62%
20%
19%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
HAD
0 - 2
BIG
22%
22%
56%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Waltham Abbey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
WAL
2 - 1
LEI
23%
23%
54%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2024 |
HER
2 - 1
WAL
43%
22%
35%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 2023 |
WAL
1 - 4
WEL
63%
19%
18%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
KIN
1 - 2
WAL
32%
23%
45%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
WAL
1 - 1
BAR
77%
13%
9%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | -1 |