Guiseley vs Gainsborough Trinity analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.7%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
11.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guiseley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
FYL
0 - 0
GUI
28%
25%
47%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
GUI
1 - 0
WOR
71%
19%
10%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2014 |
GUI
3 - 0
STO
71%
19%
10%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
LEA
0 - 1
GUI
24%
24%
53%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2014 |
GUI
1 - 4
HUR
26%
24%
49%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Gainsborough Trinity
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
GAI
0 - 0
LOW
33%
25%
42%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
BRA
3 - 2
GAI
56%
23%
21%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2014 |
BAR
3 - 1
GAI
49%
25%
27%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
GAI
1 - 0
HED
26%
23%
51%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | +2 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
AFC
3 - 0
GAI
67%
19%
14%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |