Guingamp vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
20%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
ANG
3 - 0
GUI
34%
28%
38%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
GUI
5 - 0
BAS
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
MPL
1 - 1
GUI
49%
25%
25%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2017 |
QUE
1 - 2
GUI
18%
22%
60%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
GUI
1 - 2
MON
20%
22%
58%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
ASN
2 - 3
LOR
40%
26%
34%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
ASN
1 - 2
LIL
35%
29%
36%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
PSG
1 - 0
ASN
84%
12%
4%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
ASN
0 - 0
TFC
35%
27%
37%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2017 |
CAE
1 - 0
ASN
36%
29%
36%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |