Guillermo Brown vs Unión Mar del Plata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
18%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guillermo Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
LIB
0 - 0
GBR
33%
28%
39%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
RIV
1 - 2
GBR
25%
28%
47%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
GBR
4 - 1
RSA
69%
19%
12%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 1
GBR
24%
27%
50%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2011 |
DHA
0 - 0
GBR
32%
28%
40%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Mar del Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2011 |
UNI
2 - 0
CEN
42%
27%
31%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
HUR
4 - 1
UNI
37%
28%
35%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2011 |
UNI
2 - 1
CIP
49%
25%
26%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
RIV
0 - 0
UNI
32%
28%
40%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2011 |
UNI
3 - 0
RSA
55%
25%
20%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |