Guillermo Brown vs Real Arroyo Seco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.6%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
15.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guillermo Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
JUV
4 - 1
GBR
17%
23%
60%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
GBR
4 - 2
RSA
52%
25%
24%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2007 |
RIV
1 - 0
GBR
34%
26%
39%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
GBR
1 - 0
GIM
62%
21%
17%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
DHA
3 - 2
GBR
35%
27%
39%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Real Arroyo Seco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
RAS
1 - 2
PLA
65%
20%
15%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
DHA
1 - 2
RAS
53%
24%
24%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
JUV
0 - 1
RAS
33%
26%
42%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
RAS
2 - 0
RSA
33%
28%
40%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | +2 |
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
RIV
5 - 1
RAS
52%
24%
24%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -2 |