Guerreros vs Irapuato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
45.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guerreros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
GUE
1 - 3
TEC
46%
27%
27%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2008 |
AGU
1 - 1
GUE
46%
26%
28%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
GUE
0 - 1
DOR
29%
26%
45%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
TIJ
2 - 0
GUE
56%
25%
20%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
GUE
2 - 0
REB
41%
27%
33%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Irapuato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
LEO
0 - 4
IRA
66%
20%
14%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
IRA
1 - 0
CDT
55%
24%
21%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
TEC
1 - 1
IRA
38%
27%
35%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
IRA
2 - 0
AGU
60%
23%
17%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2008 |
DOR
0 - 0
IRA
54%
25%
22%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |