Guatire vs Lara FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.1%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
15.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guatire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
LOT
1 - 0
GUA
50%
23%
27%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
GUA
0 - 0
SCG
56%
23%
22%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
UCV
1 - 2
GUA
31%
25%
43%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 1
POR
45%
25%
30%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
URE
1 - 1
GUA
45%
25%
30%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Lara FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
LAR
1 - 1
SCG
42%
25%
33%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
POR
3 - 1
LAR
63%
22%
15%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
LAR
2 - 0
CDS
48%
25%
27%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
ANG
3 - 1
LAR
39%
27%
34%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -3 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
LAR
1 - 1
LOT
35%
25%
40%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |