Guaros de Lara FC vs Atlético El Vigía FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
19.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaros de Lara FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
MON
2 - 1
GUA
43%
29%
28%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2008 |
ARA
1 - 0
GUA
46%
28%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
GUA
1 - 1
MIN
55%
25%
21%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
CFC
1 - 1
GUA
57%
25%
18%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
GUA
0 - 1
ZUL
54%
24%
21%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético El Vigía FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
ATL
2 - 0
POR
41%
26%
34%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
ATL
2 - 2
MAR
39%
29%
32%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2008 |
ATL
3 - 0
CAR
30%
25%
45%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | +2 |
| 08 Oct. 2008 |
CAR
3 - 1
ATL
53%
26%
22%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
MON
1 - 0
ATL
52%
26%
22%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |