Série D Brazil Final Stages 1/16
Global 4-4
Guarany de Sobral vs Sousa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
26.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
SOU
3 - 1
GUA
41%
25%
34%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
GUA
2 - 1
RIV
43%
26%
31%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
POT
1 - 2
GUA
39%
26%
36%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
GUA
2 - 1
MAR
59%
21%
20%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 0
GUA
36%
25%
39%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Sousa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
SOU
3 - 1
GUA
41%
25%
34%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
CEN
0 - 1
SOU
39%
27%
34%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
SOU
2 - 2
SDJ
34%
26%
40%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
COR
1 - 0
SOU
41%
26%
34%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
SOU
1 - 1
COR
55%
24%
21%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |