Guaraní vs Rubio Ñu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.9%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
12.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
DEP
1 - 0
GUA
29%
24%
47%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2014 |
GUA
5 - 1
LIB
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
CCP
1 - 4
GUA
48%
24%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
GUA
3 - 0
AME
67%
20%
13%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
NAC
0 - 1
GUA
33%
26%
41%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Rubio Ñu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2014 |
GEN
2 - 1
RÑU
45%
26%
29%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2014 |
RÑU
3 - 0
DEP
39%
26%
35%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
LIB
5 - 1
RÑU
59%
24%
17%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
RÑU
0 - 4
CCP
28%
25%
47%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
AME
1 - 0
RÑU
53%
23%
23%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |