Guaraní vs Club River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.6%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
8.9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
GEN
0 - 1
GUA
21%
23%
56%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 0
RÑU
63%
20%
17%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
LIB
0 - 0
GUA
43%
24%
32%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 1
AME
59%
22%
19%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2016 |
OLI
3 - 2
GUA
45%
24%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Club River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
RPA
0 - 0
GEN
36%
27%
38%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
LIB
1 - 1
RPA
70%
20%
11%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
OLI
3 - 0
RPA
74%
17%
9%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
RPA
1 - 1
GEN
32%
27%
41%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
RÑU
1 - 2
RPA
64%
21%
15%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | +1 |