Guaraní vs Olimpia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
24.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
RÑU
2 - 2
GUA
30%
25%
46%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
RPA
1 - 1
GUA
19%
23%
58%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 2
GEN
72%
18%
10%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2016 |
LQE
1 - 2
GUA
41%
25%
34%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 1
IVT
40%
25%
35%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
OLI
0 - 2
PUM
37%
27%
37%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2016 |
LQE
2 - 1
OLI
50%
25%
26%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
OLI
0 - 1
CCP
45%
26%
28%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
TAC
2 - 1
OLI
39%
25%
37%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2016 |
GEN
4 - 1
OLI
25%
27%
48%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | -1 |