Guaraní vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
21.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
GUA
3 - 1
ZAM
68%
19%
14%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
GUA
1 - 3
NAC
67%
19%
14%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
RÑU
1 - 2
GUA
20%
24%
56%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | -2 |
| 27 Mar. 2017 |
DEP
1 - 0
GUA
26%
25%
50%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2017 |
SPT
1 - 2
GUA
21%
25%
55%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | +2 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2017 |
LIB
1 - 2
GOD
48%
26%
27%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2017 |
IND
0 - 2
LIB
29%
28%
43%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2017 |
LIB
3 - 2
LQE
63%
22%
15%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2017 |
OLI
0 - 3
LIB
54%
24%
22%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
LIB
3 - 0
GEN
63%
22%
15%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | +1 |