Guaraní vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
24.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
CCP
1 - 4
GUA
48%
24%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
GUA
3 - 0
AME
67%
20%
13%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
NAC
0 - 1
GUA
33%
26%
41%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 0
LQE
68%
20%
12%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
12O
1 - 1
GUA
16%
23%
62%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2014 |
LIB
3 - 0
NAC
65%
22%
13%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
LIB
5 - 1
RÑU
59%
24%
17%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 0
LIB
27%
25%
48%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
DEP
1 - 0
LIB
35%
26%
39%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2014 |
GEN
0 - 1
LIB
25%
26%
49%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |