Guaraní vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
30.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2009 |
GUA
2 - 0
SAN
59%
24%
17%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
CCP
5 - 4
GUA
49%
27%
25%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
GUA
3 - 1
OLI
44%
28%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
12O
2 - 1
GUA
28%
28%
45%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2009 |
GUA
2 - 1
LQE
52%
26%
22%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2010 |
TAC
1 - 0
LIB
43%
26%
30%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
TAC
1 - 0
LIB
29%
29%
42%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
LIB
2 - 1
NAC
46%
26%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
2DE
1 - 2
LIB
30%
28%
42%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2009 |
CCP
1 - 0
LIB
43%
28%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |