Guaraní vs Independiente FBC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.3%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
13.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2018 |
OLI
5 - 2
GUA
48%
24%
28%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2018 |
GUA
0 - 0
JUN
54%
24%
23%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2018 |
GUA
2 - 1
DEP
58%
22%
20%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2018 |
JUN
1 - 0
GUA
46%
25%
29%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
LIB
2 - 0
GUA
37%
26%
36%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Independiente FBC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
IND
4 - 1
LQE
31%
26%
43%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
GEN
1 - 1
IND
52%
25%
24%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
IND
0 - 3
NAC
34%
28%
38%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2018 |
IND
1 - 2
OLI
22%
25%
53%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2017 |
RÑU
1 - 3
IND
47%
26%
27%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |