Guaraní vs Independiente FBC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.2%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
13.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
SPT
1 - 3
GUA
21%
24%
55%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2017 |
GUA
0 - 2
RIV
40%
25%
35%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 2
GUA
31%
25%
44%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
GUA
2 - 1
RÑU
71%
18%
12%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
CCP
0 - 4
GUA
46%
24%
30%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente FBC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
IND
0 - 3
LQE
45%
27%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2017 |
LIB
2 - 0
IND
57%
23%
20%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
IND
0 - 2
NAC
45%
27%
28%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
RÑU
2 - 2
IND
37%
27%
37%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
IND
1 - 2
CCP
34%
27%
39%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |