Guarani RS vs São Paulo RS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
37.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarani RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
LAJ
1 - 0
GUA
55%
25%
20%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 2
SAN
33%
25%
42%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
GUA
0 - 3
GUA
32%
24%
44%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -2 |
| 13 Oct. 2021 |
LAJ
1 - 0
GUA
43%
27%
31%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 0
SAO
33%
27%
40%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
São Paulo RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
SAO
3 - 3
ECA
44%
26%
30%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
PEL
1 - 0
SAO
62%
22%
16%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
URS
3 - 1
SAO
59%
23%
18%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2021 |
SAO
0 - 2
URS
38%
26%
36%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
ECA
0 - 0
SAO
43%
27%
30%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |