Guaraní A. Franco vs Sarm. Resistencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.1%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
10.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní A. Franco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
CDN
2 - 0
GAF
33%
27%
39%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
GAF
1 - 2
TEX
79%
14%
7%
|
67 | 33 | 34 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
SOL
1 - 1
GAF
14%
24%
62%
|
68 | 43 | 25 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1985 |
PLA
1 - 0
GAF
62%
22%
16%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -2 |
| 20 Mar. 1985 |
GAF
0 - 0
PLA
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Sarm. Resistencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
SAR
2 - 0
BUC
29%
26%
45%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
CAC
0 - 2
SAR
20%
24%
57%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
SAR
0 - 1
CFE
15%
22%
63%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | -1 |