Guaraní A. Franco vs Colegiales Concordia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.5%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
12%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
12.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní A. Franco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
TEX
1 - 2
GAF
25%
25%
50%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
GAF
2 - 2
CFE
33%
26%
42%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
CDN
0 - 1
GAF
55%
24%
22%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
GAF
1 - 0
SOL
68%
19%
13%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2007 |
PAT
4 - 0
GAF
53%
25%
22%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Colegiales Concordia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
COL
1 - 0
CFE
12%
22%
66%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
SOL
1 - 3
COL
50%
25%
26%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2008 |
COL
0 - 0
JUV
34%
25%
41%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
COL
0 - 0
TEX
54%
24%
22%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
CDN
2 - 3
COL
71%
18%
10%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | +1 |