Chivas Guadalajara vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
42.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chivas Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
UDG
0 - 1
CHI
36%
29%
35%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
MOR
2 - 0
CHI
47%
27%
27%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2016 |
CHI
1 - 0
JUA
65%
20%
16%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2016 |
CHI
2 - 2
TIG
34%
29%
37%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2016 |
JUA
1 - 0
CHI
42%
25%
33%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
TOL
1 - 1
PUE
63%
22%
15%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
MOR
1 - 1
TOL
34%
27%
40%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
PUM
3 - 2
TOL
36%
27%
37%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
TOL
1 - 0
TIG
53%
25%
22%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2015 |
TOL
0 - 2
TIG
55%
25%
21%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | -1 |