Liga MX Finals - Apertura Quarter-finals
Global 2-5
Chivas Guadalajara vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
33%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chivas Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2012 |
CHI
0 - 2
TIJ
42%
28%
30%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
QRO
0 - 1
CHI
35%
29%
37%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2012 |
CHI
2 - 0
ATS
51%
26%
23%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
CHI
2 - 1
CHI
68%
20%
12%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2012 |
ATL
3 - 1
CHI
43%
27%
29%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
SNL
0 - 2
TOL
31%
28%
41%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2012 |
MON
2 - 2
TOL
58%
22%
19%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
TOL
0 - 0
MOR
47%
25%
29%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
CAZ
3 - 0
TOL
55%
24%
22%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
TOL
4 - 1
SAN
39%
25%
36%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | +1 |