Guadalajara Premier vs Toluca Premier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.5%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
13.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+55%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guadalajara Premier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2016 |
TOL
1 - 3
GUA
33%
24%
42%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
GUA
3 - 1
QUE
53%
23%
23%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2016 |
QUE
2 - 1
GUA
36%
25%
39%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2016 |
GUA
6 - 1
MZA
42%
25%
33%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2016 |
TIJ
3 - 0
GUA
31%
25%
44%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Toluca Premier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2016 |
TOL
1 - 3
GUA
33%
24%
42%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
TIG
4 - 0
TOL
65%
20%
15%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -2 |
| 23 Nov. 2016 |
TOL
1 - 0
TIG
28%
24%
48%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
CAC
3 - 1
TOL
51%
24%
25%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -2 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
TOL
3 - 0
ZAC
54%
23%
23%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |