Grorud IL vs Lillehammer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.4%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
14.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+81%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grorud IL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
BIR
2 - 0
GRO
33%
25%
42%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
GRO
3 - 3
ELV
41%
25%
34%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
GRO
2 - 0
BRU
56%
22%
22%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
VAL
3 - 1
GRO
42%
24%
33%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
GRO
1 - 2
ORN
55%
22%
24%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Lillehammer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
FFL
2 - 2
VAL
32%
24%
45%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2012 |
ORN
3 - 1
FFL
70%
17%
14%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2012 |
FFL
0 - 2
VAL
39%
23%
39%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -2 |
| 14 May. 2012 |
STR
1 - 1
FFL
71%
16%
14%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
FFL
1 - 3
FRA
43%
23%
34%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -2 |