Greuther Fürth vs Union Berlin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
22.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greuther Fürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2014 |
BOC
0 - 2
SGF
32%
26%
42%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
SGF
3 - 2
FSV
55%
23%
21%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2014 |
KOL
1 - 1
SGF
48%
26%
26%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2014 |
SGF
1 - 1
KSC
51%
25%
25%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
KAI
2 - 1
SGF
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
FCU
1 - 1
ING
55%
24%
20%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2014 |
STP
2 - 1
FCU
47%
25%
28%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2014 |
FCU
2 - 0
FSV
46%
25%
29%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2014 |
F95
1 - 1
FCU
45%
26%
29%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
FCU
0 - 0
SGD
56%
24%
20%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |