Copa Paulista Final Stages Semi-finals
Global 1-3
Grêmio Prudente vs São José analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
39.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio Prudente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
POR
2 - 2
GRE
59%
25%
16%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
GRE
1 - 0
POR
22%
25%
53%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
SAO
2 - 2
GRE
41%
27%
32%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
GRE
1 - 0
MIR
13%
21%
67%
|
51 | 75 | 24 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
GRE
1 - 2
MAR
38%
26%
36%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
SAO
4 - 0
MAR
48%
25%
27%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 2
SAO
40%
27%
34%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 2
SAO
38%
29%
33%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
SAO
1 - 0
BER
61%
22%
16%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
SAO
0 - 2
SAO
30%
27%
44%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |