Copa Paulista Final Stages Quarter-finals
Global 3-2
Grêmio Prudente vs Portuguesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
53%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio Prudente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
SAO
2 - 2
GRE
41%
27%
32%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
GRE
1 - 0
MIR
13%
21%
67%
|
51 | 75 | 24 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
GRE
1 - 2
MAR
38%
26%
36%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
COM
1 - 2
GRE
39%
27%
35%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
GRE
1 - 1
NOR
30%
25%
45%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
POR
2 - 0
SAO
67%
22%
12%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
POR
1 - 0
POR
24%
25%
51%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
POR
1 - 0
BER
69%
21%
10%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
POR
0 - 0
SAO
62%
23%
15%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 1
POR
22%
26%
52%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |