Grêmio vs Tombense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.8%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.4%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
18.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
24%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.9%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
14.5%
4.8%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
GRE
2 - 0
NAU
78%
16%
7%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
BAH
0 - 0
GRE
33%
27%
40%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2022 |
GRE
1 - 0
LON
79%
15%
6%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2022 |
CSA
1 - 1
GRE
22%
27%
50%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
GRE
2 - 0
SAM
80%
15%
6%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Tombense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
TOM
2 - 1
CHA
43%
28%
29%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
PPE
0 - 0
TOM
50%
28%
22%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2022 |
CRB
0 - 0
TOM
54%
27%
19%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
TOM
1 - 1
NAU
43%
27%
30%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
NOV
1 - 3
TOM
41%
31%
28%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |