Grêmio vs EC Juventude analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.8%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
13.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
17.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.8%
1-0
15%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.4%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
0
14.2%
5%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
AIM
1 - 1
GRE
8%
23%
70%
|
87 | 49 | 38 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
NOV
0 - 4
GRE
15%
26%
59%
|
87 | 53 | 34 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
GRE
1 - 0
COR
60%
23%
17%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
VIT
0 - 0
GRE
23%
27%
50%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2018 |
FLA
2 - 0
GRE
47%
27%
26%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
EC Juventude
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
JUV
0 - 1
ECS
54%
25%
21%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
PEL
0 - 1
JUV
31%
26%
43%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
JUV
0 - 4
CSA
27%
31%
43%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2018 |
FOR
4 - 1
JUV
69%
20%
11%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2018 |
JUV
0 - 1
PPE
16%
28%
57%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | 0 |